Monthly Archives: May 2011

Trading Probabilities and Common Sense

A man appears from nowhere and tell you that he knows your total worth is X amount of money. He proposes to you a game of tossing a fair coin (independently confirmed to be fair) just twice and he will pay … Continue reading

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Was Mr. Gross Wrong About Bonds?

In a post on March 14, 2011, I talked about the decision of PIMCO to sell all of their Treasury holdings. I analyzed that decision from the point of view of Technical Analysis and I argued that it was a wise risk … Continue reading

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