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Monthly Archives: June 2011
Bond Yields Are Testing Crucial Levels
After a rally in bond prices that lasted almost 5 months, contrary to the expectations of many, the current three day correction has activated again important technical levels. Specifically, the CBOE Index of interest rate of 10-yr Note closed yesterday at 3.11, … Continue reading
SLV Near Crucial Support Levels
SLV, the silver ETF, is approaching crucial support levels. After breaking the up-trendline T1, it is now close to testing the low of last month at the $32 level. If this support level fails, SLV will be faced with the … Continue reading
S&P 500 Index Bouncing off its 200-SMA. Self-fulfilling Prophecy?
This question is proper for the whole of Technical Analysis; Is Technical Analysis a self-fulfilling prophecy? Take a look for example at the daily S&P 500 chart below, updated as of the close of yesterday. The low for the day was … Continue reading
Posted in Technical Analysis
Tagged S&P 500 Index, self-fulfilling profecy, technical analysis
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Reversal Signals from the p-Indicator
After a very strong signal for a rally in QQQ as of the close of last Monday, the p-Indicator now signals a reversal to the downside for both SPY and QQQ. Calculations as of the close of yesterday indicate a short … Continue reading
A Rare Strong Signal from the p-Indicator
As of the close of Monday, June 20, 2011, the p-Indicator calculations for QQQ indicated strong buy signals with numbers that I have rarely seen before. I was very skeptical but, on hindsight, I shouldn’t have been given the indicator performance. This … Continue reading
200 or 183? Ask the Data Mining Robots
Last Monday QQQ lows touched the 200-day simple moving average of its closing price. This remarkable event was immediately noticed and references to it were all over the place. Maybe these references caused news and information data mining robots to consider this as … Continue reading
Posted in Technical Analysis
Tagged 200-day simple moving average, data-mining robots, QQQ, SPY
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The State of ETFs – June 13, 2011 – The Week Ahead
As of the close of June 10, 2011, there are only two changes in the ETF trend state table in relation to the close of the previous week. There are also developing oversold conditions in stock index ETFs, which are close … Continue reading
Posted in ETF Analysis
Tagged DBC, ETF trend, FXE, GLD, MEI indicator, p-indicator, QQQ, SLV, SPY, TLT, USO
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A Pattern of Five Consecutive Lower Closes in SPY
As of the close of yesterday, Tuesday, June 7, 2011, a 6-bar pattern with 5 lower closes formed in SPY, as shown on the daily chart below and enclosed in the dotted rectangle. It appears based on backtesting that this has been a bullish formation 72% … Continue reading
Posted in Price Action Lab Patterns
Tagged consecutive lower closes, Price Action Lab, price patterns, SPY
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A Pattern of Three Lower Highs With Three Lower Lows in QQQ
As of the close of yesterday, Monday June 6, 2011, a 4-bar pattern of three lower highs with three lower lows emerged in QQQ, as shown on the daily chart below and enclosed in the dotted rectangle. Contrary to common perception, this is … Continue reading
Posted in Price Action Lab Patterns
Tagged higher highs, lower lows, Price Action Lab, QQQ
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The State of ETFs – June 6, 2011 – The Week Ahead
As of the close of June 3, 2006, there are six changes in the ETF trend state table in relation to the close of the previous week. However, two of those changes are very important and may signal the beginning of a … Continue reading
Posted in ETF Analysis
Tagged DBC, ETF trend, FXE, GLD, MEI indicator, p-indicator, QQQ, SLV, SPY, TLT, USO
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