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Monthly Archives: July 2011
Off for a while
I will take a two week break to attend a meeting of a group of economists, investors and fund managers held in an island somewhere in Europe and I all also visit friends in England and Italy. I will have no time to answer emails during that … Continue reading
Posted in Uncategorized
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p-indicator calculations point to a significant move in QQQ
As of the close of Thursday, July 28, 2011, p-indicator results indicate high probability for a significant move in QQQ. Specifically, the numbers show a large positive bias with moderate significance for all target/stop pairs used.
QQQ Gap Filled. What’s next?
In my last post I talked about the QQQ gap at the open of Tuesday, July 18, 2011, and that it was very possible that it will be filled, triggering at the same time a broader market correction. The market demonstrated a … Continue reading
Is the Gap in QQQ From a Week Ago Significant?
There is a gap in the daily QQQ chart left behind five days ago, at the open of Tuesday, July 18, 2011. The open price was $58.09 and never moved lower. As a result the low of the day was … Continue reading
What is Price Action Lab?
I receive several emails each day with questions about Price Action Lab, the program I use to identify price patterns and perform indicator calculations for my blog. The short answer is that Price Action Lab is a program that discovers automatically … Continue reading
Posted in Trading System Synthesis
Tagged automatic trading system discovery, p-indicator, Price Action Lab, price patterns
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SPY and QQQ Buy at the Open – Sell at the Close Probabilities
The simplest kind of intraday trading is to initiate a position at the open of the day and exit at the close. Although it sounds simple in principle, this type of trading requires good timing of entries to maintain a high profit factor. … Continue reading
p-indicator Calculations Indicate High Probability for a Short-Term Market Rally
As of the close of yesterday, Monday, July 18, 2011, p-indicator results for SPY indicate high probability for a short-term rally. Specifically, results for profit target and stop-loss of 1%, 2% and 3% show a large positive bias with moderately high significance.
A Bear Market on the Horizon? Analysis of the Weekly S&P 500 Index Chart
At first glance, the weekly S&P 500 chart offers a very pessimistic view about the medium to longer-term direction of the market. A head and shoulders formation is immediately evident even to the untrained eye. The important line of this formation, the … Continue reading
Posted in Technical Analysis
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The State of ETFs – July 18, 2011 – The Week Ahead
As of the close of Friday, July 15, 2011, there are 8 changes in the ETF trend state table in relation to the close of the previous week. Four of the changes are related to the short and medium-term trend of SPY and … Continue reading
Posted in ETF Analysis
Tagged DBC, ETF trend, FXE, GLD, MEI indicator, p-indicator, QQQ, SLV, SPY, TLT, USO
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Winning Probabilities for Buying at the Open and Selling at the Close for SPY and QQQ
The simplest kind of intraday trading is to initiate a position at the open of the day and exit at the close. Although it sounds simple in principle, this type of trades require good timing of entries to maintain a high profit factor. Quite … Continue reading

