-
Search
-
-
Recent Posts
Popular Posts
- Naive Speculators Were Hit Hard
- Buy Stop Orders Above Key ETF Breakout Levels May Extend the Stock Rally
- Machine Generated SPY Patterns and Trading Systems
- Machine Designed High Reward-Risk SPY Trading System
- The Main Cause of Failure of Some Popular Technical Trading Methods
- Fundbusters
- The Best Trading System of All Time Fully Disclosed
- Fooled by Randomness Through Selection Bias
- The Stock Market Has Been Very Generous to Gamblers
- Gold False Breakout to the Downside
Archives
- May 2013 (26)
- April 2013 (29)
- March 2013 (34)
- February 2013 (28)
- January 2013 (35)
- December 2012 (34)
- November 2012 (30)
- October 2012 (40)
- September 2012 (38)
- August 2012 (35)
- July 2012 (34)
- June 2012 (32)
- May 2012 (38)
- April 2012 (32)
- March 2012 (32)
- February 2012 (43)
- January 2012 (42)
- December 2011 (31)
- November 2011 (21)
- October 2011 (15)
- September 2011 (8)
- August 2011 (8)
- July 2011 (14)
- June 2011 (12)
- May 2011 (14)
- April 2011 (18)
- March 2011 (15)
- February 2011 (14)
- January 2011 (15)
- December 2010 (2)
- November 2010 (3)
- October 2010 (4)
Categories
- Economic Analysis (48)
- ETF Analysis (311)
- Folklore (10)
- Market Statistics (66)
- Price Action Lab Alerts (87)
- Price Action Lab Patterns (121)
- Risk Management (21)
- Technical Analysis (323)
- Trading System Analysis (50)
- Trading System Design (55)
- Trading System Synthesis (43)
- Trend following (13)
- Uncategorized (10)
- Warnings (6)
-
Follow us on Twitter
- The Stock Market Has Been Very Generous to Gamblers http://t.co/SXIj4q7ptd 19 hours ago
- High Probability Position and Day Trades for Thursday, May 23, 2013 http://t.co/N2Q5O1QZJj 1 day ago
- European Stock Indices in Overbought Territory http://t.co/B1MFDPhhU9 2 days ago
- Late Gold Bears May Get Crashed http://t.co/VXfpAK2O3A 3 days ago
- Fooled by Random Backtesting http://t.co/hhevAMwc4d 4 days ago
Monthly Archives: September 2011
A Short QQQ Pattern With a 5% Profit Target
As of the close of yesterday, Thursday, September 29, 2011, a price pattern of two lower lows and two lower highs was formed in QQQ. In addition, the close of yesterday was lower than the low of the day before … Continue reading
S&P 500 Sideways, Choppy Price Action
S&P 500 has been moving sideways in a 100 point range for almost two months. This choppy market action in a narrow range has been the cause of severe problems to some trend followers. There are conflicting technical signs about … Continue reading
ETF Technical Analysis – Week of September 26, 2011
As of the close of Friday, September 23, 2011, SPY, QQQ, GLD, SLV, FXE, USO and DBC are on a short-term downtrend. TLT is trending up in all three timeframes. There are significant overbought/oversold conditions under development. Specifically, SLV and DBC are oversold … Continue reading
Posted in ETF Analysis, Technical Analysis
Tagged DBC, FXE, GLD, QQQ, SLV, SPY, TLT, USO
Comments Off
ETF Technical Analysis – Week of September 19, 2011
As of the close of Friday, September 16, 2011, SPY and QQQ are on a short-term uptrend, GLD and SLV are on a short-term downtrend, TLT is on short-term correction mode, and FXE, DBC and USO are moving sideways. There … Continue reading
A High Probability QQQ Pattern With a 6% Profit Target
As of yesterday’s close a symmetric price pattern of two higher closes with the last close higher than the high of the previous day was formed in QQQ. Historical analysis shows that this is a high probability pattern with a … Continue reading
Posted in ETF Analysis, Price Action Lab Patterns
Tagged Price Action Lab, price patterns, QQQ
Comments Off
TLT Possible Correction to Close Gap
The rally in bond prices on Friday, September 2, 2011, caused a gap in TLT daily price chart of $1.68. This is a sizable gap and it looks like that the market will move to close it before it attempts … Continue reading
P-Indicator Results for QQQ and SPY Point to a Negative Short-Term Bias
As of the close of Thursday, September 8, 2011, p-indicator results for SPY and QQQ show a negative short-term bias for 3%, 4% and 5% price envelopes.
Curve-fitting and Optimization
The subject of optimization and curve-fitting has received a lot of attention by trading system developers, especially during the last 10 years. There is a lot of confusion about this subject and different views, some even conflicting. There are those who claim that … Continue reading
Posted in Trading System Design
Tagged curve-fitting, objective function, optimization, trading system design
Comments Off

