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Monthly Archives: December 2011
ETF Returns for 2011 and the Five Lessons I Learned
The market some heavy names were trying to convince us that it will suffer the most actually returned the most by far. What is happening here? Have we learned our lessons or are we destined to repeat the same mistakes in 2012? Five lessons … Continue reading
Inside Days Signal Indecision But Short-Term Bias is Up
As of the close of yesterday there were inside days formed in the three major stock market indices and their corresponding ETFs. Although this type of price action signals indecision, an analysis of its patterns shows that the short-term market bias is still … Continue reading
Posted in ETF Analysis, Technical Analysis
Tagged market bias, Price Action Lab, QQQ, SPY
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Spot Silver in Oversold Territory While Prices Are Testing Important Support
Spot silver prices continue under pressure and are about testing important support near $26.05 an ounce. At the same time this precious metal is in oversold territory with a 14-day RSI at 26.40. A rebound from these levels would be a natural … Continue reading
SPY and SPX Price Action – No Resolution Yet About Future Market Direction
As I have noted in a previous post, S&P 500 and SPY are moving inside an up-channel most analysts have missed because they pay too much attention to low probability chart patterns like a non-standard and irregular inverse head and shoulders that in my … Continue reading
Gold Long-Term Fibonacci Retracement Levels
Gold is currently testing the horizontal trendline support of an important descending triangle formation as already described in another post. If this triangle fails as a continuation pattern and gold prices continue to slide, this may signal the end of … Continue reading
TLT Prices May Attempt to Retest Important Resistance
Bond yields rose recently and as a result prices fell. TLT, the ETF that tracks the Barclays Capital U.S. 20+ Year Treasury Bond Index, corrected after testing resistance near its all-time high. Prices are now below a very important resistance level … Continue reading
ETF Trends – Week of December 27, 2011
As of the close of Friday, December 23, 2011, there are 9 changes in the ETF trend state table in relation to last week’s report. There is another reversal of the short-term trend and as a result 8 of the changes … Continue reading
An Important Technical Signal from the Gold Front
A descending triangle formed in spot gold and GLD weekly charts offers some hope to gold bulls for a potential up breakout towards new highs. What does technical analysis say about such possibility?
What is so Special About the 200-Day Moving Average? The GLD Case
The importance of the 200-day simple moving average as a trend indicator is well-known and indisputable. Even those who do not use technical analysis pay attention to this average. But why 200 days and not 250, for example? The latter should better describe a yearly … Continue reading
Posted in ETF Analysis, Technical Analysis
Tagged 200-day simple moving average, GLD, self-fulfilling prophecy
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Three Charts That Hide the Future – SPX – NDX – TNX
It appears that the positive correlation between bond yields and stock prices will continue into the new year. This correlation acts as a constraint to asset price moves and limits the possibilities to only two: when stocks decline bond prices rise and when stocks rise bond … Continue reading