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Monthly Archives: June 2012
Fooled by Randomness Through Selection Bias
There are programs available to traders that mix and match indicators with exit conditions for the purpose of designing systems that fullfil desired performance criteria and risk/reward objectives. Due to the inherent randomness in the algorithms of these programs their output varies … Continue reading
Posted in ETF Analysis
Tagged coin toss, curve-fitting, data-mining bias, machine ge, selection bias
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Another Major Failure of Chart Pattern Analysis
Another major chart pattern, this time in Russell 2000 Index, has just failed. Chartists are dumbfounded by the failures of even the best of chart patterns recently. Some have come to understand what is happening but some others still resist not realizing … Continue reading
A Rare Divergence
Signals generated by a Price Action Lab scan as of the close of Wednesday, June 27, 2012, indicate a divergence between SPY and QQQ. This type of divergence is rare and it may mean a few different things with the most … Continue reading
Common Long Signals in DIA, SPY and QQQ
I call common patterns those that form in one or more securities that belong to a pre-defined group but are profitable in the history of all securities in the group. This special category of patterns may be identified using a unique feature … Continue reading
Posted in Price Action Lab Alerts, Price Action Lab Patterns
Tagged common patterns, DIA, QQQ, SPY, System Tracking
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Fasten Your Seatbelts
According to my analysis and early signals I received yesterday, we may get a major rebound and a rally of the S&P 500 Index from these levels with a target close to 1,363. This analysis holds unless a major change in fundamentals takes place … Continue reading
Automated Discovery of Trading Systems
There are many ways of accomplishing automated trading strategy discovery. The idea is simple in principle and I have described it in more detail in my (out-of-print) books since 1999. In a nutshell, historical data series are used to discover robust … Continue reading
Posted in Trading System Design, Trading System Synthesis
Tagged curve-fitting, data snooping, Machine generation of trading systems, Price Action Lab, selection bias
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Signals Indicating a Higher Probability for a Stock Market Rebound
Signals generated by the p-indicator for SPY and QQQ show a higher probability than usual for a market rebound.
Will Silver Rally Again or Plunge?
Last time SLV dropped below $26, on December 29, 2011, it rallied for about two months to over $36. Last Friday SLV tested again the December 2011 low and closed 50 cents above it at $26.15. Will there be another … Continue reading
Price Action Lab Alert for Friday, June 22, 2012
I’m late posting this alert because I was busy with a few other things but there is still about one hour to market open. This alert is about one Dow 30 stock for entry at the open and exit with a 2% profit … Continue reading
Performance of the Last Two Price Action Lab Alerts
This evaluation is for the next two alerts after the last evaluation on June 9, 2012. The first alert was for the open of June 13 and involved 8 stocks, 5 long and 3 short for entry at the open … Continue reading

