DLPAL workspace and deep learning results for DOW-30 stocks as of the close of Friday, October 21, 2016.
For this setup we need adjusted data for all Dow-30 stocks since 01/2000. The DLPAL p-indicator workspace setup is shown below. More information about the p-indicator can be found in the program manual.
We have applied a profit target and stop-loss of 2% because we are interested in short-term directional price action. We also marked “Show All results” because we then would like to calculate the P-Dow indicator value. The longer-term trend is removed from the results by checking “Detrend All results.
After we click Stats we get a P-Dow indicator value of 0.70 (number of stocks with positive directional bias divided by all stocks in results.) This is a relatively large directional bias and indicates a higher probability for an up day. Please note that this is probability, not a prediction.
In addition, WMT and PG have high directional bias P-Long and P-Delta (P-long – P-short) at high significance S above 10. DIS has high negative short-term bias at high significance.
Note that use of a larger universe, such as S&P 500 stocks, can facilitate execution of long/short equity strategies by selecting stocks at the top with high probability P-long and stocks form the bottom with high probability P-short, both groups at a high significance levels.
If you have any questions or comments, happy to connect on Twitter: @priceactionlab
You can download a demo of DLPAL from this link.