Category Archives: ETF Analysis

The Forexization of the Stock Market

Due to central bank intervention via quantitative easing and the rise of dark pools, the stock market is under “forexization”. This will be good for a few major players but, given the experience from the forex market, it is a negative … Continue reading

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ETF YTD Performance: Winners and Losers

Real estate, biotech and bonds continue to deliver high returns YTD while small caps are recovering. The performance table points to possibility of bubbles forming soon. Share

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Bond Bears Are Getting Fried Once Again

The 10-Year Note yield closed at 2.35% Friday after dropping as low as 2.30% during the day. Although the rally in bond prices has reached overbought levels, bond bears who were dreaming quick profits from a trend reversal last month are getting fried.  Share

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State of Major US Stock Indexes and Key Proxy ETFs

Distances from the 200-day moving average and from a 250-day high of major stock indexes. RSI(14) and YTD return of key proxy ETFs. Share

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The Third Attempt For a Trend Reversal

This is the third attempt for a stock market trend reversal this year. The last two attempts were in January and April and produced corrections of -5% and -3.7%respectively, based on the SPY chart. Is the current -2.8% correction from the all-time high … Continue reading

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This is how the Game is Played

Risk-on risk-off, besides serving investor risk tolerances, has been used effectively to avert a market correction. This constant switching between low volatility and high beta stocks has acted as a stabilizing control mechanism for the market because it has facilitated … Continue reading

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Return and Volatility of a Few Proxy ETFs

The IShares US Real Estate ETF (IYR) has the highest YTD return at mid-range volatility while the Global X Social Media Index ETF (SOCL) has a negative return at high volatility. The SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) and the PowerShares QQQ are competing … Continue reading

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