-
Search
-
-
Recent Posts
Popular Posts
- Naive Speculators Were Hit Hard
- Buy Stop Orders Above Key ETF Breakout Levels May Extend the Stock Rally
- Machine Generated SPY Patterns and Trading Systems
- Machine Designed High Reward-Risk SPY Trading System
- The Main Cause of Failure of Some Popular Technical Trading Methods
- Fundbusters
- The Best Trading System of All Time Fully Disclosed
- Fooled by Randomness Through Selection Bias
- Gold False Breakout to the Downside
- Bluff in May and Sell in June
Archives
- May 2013 (23)
- April 2013 (29)
- March 2013 (34)
- February 2013 (28)
- January 2013 (35)
- December 2012 (34)
- November 2012 (30)
- October 2012 (40)
- September 2012 (38)
- August 2012 (35)
- July 2012 (34)
- June 2012 (32)
- May 2012 (38)
- April 2012 (32)
- March 2012 (32)
- February 2012 (43)
- January 2012 (42)
- December 2011 (31)
- November 2011 (21)
- October 2011 (15)
- September 2011 (8)
- August 2011 (8)
- July 2011 (14)
- June 2011 (12)
- May 2011 (14)
- April 2011 (18)
- March 2011 (15)
- February 2011 (14)
- January 2011 (15)
- December 2010 (2)
- November 2010 (3)
- October 2010 (4)
Categories
- Economic Analysis (48)
- ETF Analysis (310)
- Folklore (10)
- Market Statistics (65)
- Price Action Lab Alerts (86)
- Price Action Lab Patterns (120)
- Risk Management (21)
- Technical Analysis (323)
- Trading System Analysis (50)
- Trading System Design (54)
- Trading System Synthesis (42)
- Trend following (13)
- Uncategorized (10)
- Warnings (6)
-
Follow us on Twitter
- European Stock Indices in Overbought Territory http://t.co/B1MFDPhhU9 17 hours ago
- Late Gold Bears May Get Crashed http://t.co/VXfpAK2O3A 1 day ago
- Fooled by Random Backtesting http://t.co/hhevAMwc4d 2 days ago
- EURUSD and S&P 500 Correlation at a 4-Year Low http://t.co/LwalbiYpfJ 4 days ago
- Australian S&P/ASX 200 Inside Day Pattern and Divergence http://t.co/TaFdGaTL0Y 4 days ago
Category Archives: Folklore
Scripta Manent
Longer-term market forecasts are quite common this time of the year. By longer-term I mean forecasts about the market beyond a few weeks or a couple of months. The act of conceiving and announcing such forecasts should be the subject of Psychology and … Continue reading
Posted in Folklore, Technical Analysis
Tagged foracts, fortune tellers, magicians, reversion to the mean
Comments Off
Culturomics and Market Trading
Using the Google Ngram Viewer one can spot trends that agree with experience. For example, one can confirm the empirical fact that market trading and technical analysis are losing popularity.
“Death Cross”: It’s the Lag, Stupid
A “death cross” panic is about to hit the market thanks to the serious efforts of some naive analysts who like to spread hype. After the 50-200 daily “death cross” was debunked, they have now turned to a 50-200 monthly “death cross” … Continue reading
Higgs Fever Means Little to the Market
In the midst of severe economic problems that can lead to social instability in many countries in Europe and elsewhere and maybe an eventual breakup of EU, there is a Higgs fever in the physics community. This is a particle named … Continue reading
Lessons from a Former Trading Addict
I had to climb up a steep cliff to get service for my mobile phone. I had several bruises and cuts when I reached the top but full signal strength for my phone. I used quick dial to call my broker to place the order I was … Continue reading
Eight Investment Lessons I do not Need
Another “lesson” list I do not agree with.
Are Some People Able to Predict Market Moves by Seeing Into the Future?
If this is true, it is a serious issue that can jeopardize the whole idea of fair markets and much more. The question is: Are there people that can see into the future and as a result profit from future market … Continue reading
Mass Psychology and Fibonacci Retracement Levels on March 15, 2011
The market behavior on Tuesday, March 15, 2011, was driven by mass psychology, which in turn was driven by fear and greed caused by the Japan earthquake aftermath. The big winner of this market behavior was Leonardo of Pisa, a.k.a. Fibonacci. The … Continue reading
Posted in Folklore, Technical Analysis
Tagged Fibonacci retracement levels, mass psychology
Comments Off
Models, S&P 500 Returns and Related Folklore
According to Investopedia, the Sports Illustrated Swimsuit Issue Indicator was first coined by the Bespoke Investment Group. This indicator suggested, when it first appeared, that when the cover model is an American the S&P 500 has a higher probability to generate a yearly … Continue reading
Trading Moon Phases and Related Folklore
I recently came across this study. The results of the study and the claims made in it raised many questions in my mind which I could not overlook just like that. I do not believe that Astrology can be … Continue reading
Posted in Folklore
Tagged financial astrology, lunar cycle trading, SPY ETF trading, Trading system analysis
Comments Off

