Category Archives: Technical Analysis

Trendline Zoo And Four Failures in 10-Year Note Yield Chart

The 10-Year Note Yield is again in the news due to expectation of higher rates. Here is an account of the four failures and their impact. Will yields rise?

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Long Winning Streaks Normal Even At All Time Highs

Large gains in short-periods of time have been normal in the S&P 500 even near all-time highs. In fact, the average ¬†positive 8-day return at new all-time highs has been about 2.4% since 1960 with about 16% of these returns … Continue reading

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Markets Will Crash With The Help Of Some Selection Bias

My New Year’s resolution is to stop listening to biased analysts. Here is a brief recap and a recent example of an “ominous indicator.”

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“I Have Traded For X Number Of Years” Apologetic Narrative

This apologetic narrative is frequently found in blogs and social media: “I have traded for X number of years.” It is often used by those who have not kept up with progress in financial markets to convince an audience that … Continue reading

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Small Decrease In Bitcoin Volatility After Futures

There is a small decrease in bitcoin volatility after the introduction of futures.

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Free Access To This Week’s Premium Analysis

The weekly premium market report now focuses on quantitative analysis. It includes a market recap with commentary, directional probabilities of major ETFs and DJIA stocks, equity index breadth indicators, weekly mean-reversion signals and cryptocurrency analysis.

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