Category Archives: Trend following

High Bond Market Returns Offset Commodity Losses of Diversified Portfolios

The high bond market returns this year so far make up for losses of diversified portfolios in precious metals and commodities. The Price Action Lab diversified ETF portfolio is up 9.5% YTD, 2% lower than the SPY buy and hold return. Share

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The Technical Signals Than Get You Out and Then Back In

A must read yesterday at The Reformed Broker blog about pundits, market top calls and the fact that “The guys who get you out will never get you back in“. On the other hand, resorting to buy and hold does … Continue reading

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Social Media Woes and the Risks of Trend-following

Trend-followers in social media stocks and ETFs that did not apply prudent risk and money management schemes are risking going into the red. The dynamics of the uptrend and of the decline that followed did not leave any room for naive trend-following … Continue reading

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Passive Investing Fables

It is about time to update the results of an article I wrote about a year ago about passive investing strategies. Usually, a couple of years after a market bottom and while on a strong uptrend, old arguments resurface about the superiority of … Continue reading

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When Does a Downtrend Begin?

By the time that a downtrend is identified in the context of technical analysis, losses may be substantial. An important issue is not when a market can be declared to be on a downtrend, but when a downtrend begins. This depends on subjective … Continue reading

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Price Action Lab Trend-Following System Performance

This post is about the performance of the TFAdapt, which is a trend-following system with unique adaptation capabilities. The performance report is based on SPY trading. Share

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This Indicator Shows No Sign of a Stock Market Top

By virtue of the fact that in the stock market there must always be a seller for every buyer, there will also be contradicting indicators. The job of a good technical analyst is to identify all significant indicators, not only those that confirm some … Continue reading

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