The Trend in Gold is Down, Sideways and Up. That’s Right!

Is the trend in gold down as some analysts have already declared it? I know a few people who would deny that the trend is down, a few more who would claim that the trend is sideways and even some that would insist the trend is up. I even know some people who belong in the category “I don’t care since a trend is only defined in hindsight”. These differences arise from the adoption of different timeframes, trading styles and/or investment horizons. Thus, defining the trend without defining those other things is like showing an equation without defining its variables.

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Price Action Lab Alert for Monday, May 14, 2012

This alert is for Dow 30 stocks and involves one stock and two short signals for entry at the open and exit at the close. This alert also includes comments about the previous alert.

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Did I Ever Say that HFT Has Ruined the Markets?

No, I did not. As a matter of fact, I believe that HFT is the modern version of the local or the specialist group but faster and more efficient and in turn the potential for markets becoming efficient is much higher. Now, some may not understand that higher efficiency in the markets means that opportunities to profit fade fast. Instead of focusing on the message they attack the messenger. No surprise here. This is typical mass behavior.

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Price Action Lab Alert for Friday, May 11, 2012

Due to a continuing interest in Price Action Lab signals that enter a position at the open and exit at the close of the same bar, I will post another example today. This alert is about Dow 30 stocks and the results involve 3 tickers, each generating one short signal.

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Oversold Crude Oil is Testing SMA(200)

Crude oil is oversold and is currently testing its 200-day simple moving average near $96.34 per barrel. A rebound is highly possible, especially in the case that the stock market also rebounds.

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A Market Rebound from These Levels is Quite Probable

I base the higher probability for a market rebound on notable divergences between important indicators and that price action is taking place near major support levels for both SPY and QQQ. In addition the market is oversold but this last condition does not mean much in isolation. Is this going to be a correction in a developing bear market or the formation of a base for another leg up?

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Why is Peter Brandt Calling me a Daffy Duck and a Nut?

I received an email message from a reader of another blog where Peter Brandt calls me a Daffy Duck and a nut case. I was surprised. I did not expect this from Peter. Yes, people can argue about things and can be on opposite sides. But calling a fellow trader and StockTwits member with such names is quite unexpected. What is funny about this is that it has evolved from a reply I made to a post by Peter where he called for a possible drop of Dow Jones to 4,000  last year.

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This is the Best of All Possible Words

Gottfried Wilhelm Leibniz (July 1, 1646 – November 14, 1716) believed that this is the best of all possible worlds. In his 1710 essay Théodicée he argued that the actual world is the best of all possible worlds. Although Leibniz was criticized by pessimists and nihilists for his views in this area in my opinion he was able to foresee the stunning advancements in science that would open the door to countless possibilities. So what is wrong nowadays?

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Price Action Lab Alert for May 8, 2012

This alert is about long and short signals in Dow-30 stocks and popular ETFs.

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The Last Chartist

Surrounded by robots he knew the end was near. One chartist against 1,000 HFT robots. One man trying to predict the future against 1,000 robots that create the future. He pulled out his last chart and he looked at it again a few times. He had to be right this time around in the name of all chartists who have fallen in the line of duty. He opened the chart analysis book written in 1929 and he looked at the pattern in the stock of Horse Food Packers International. The book said that this is a bearish pattern. This looked identical to the current pattern in SPY. He made his call. He knew that this was his last chance. 

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