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Tag Archives: bonds
Never start a fight with the FED because you will lose
The lesson is never start a fight with the FED. When it comes to bonds, the FED is the boss, not some bond fund managers who are just the humble servants of the FED although they often commit the original financial sin of trying to overthrow the … Continue reading
Bonds Defy Classical Technical Analysis Once More
A few weeks ago we heard and read quite a few exaggerations about the future direction of bond yields, mainly by the same people who have made the same gross mistake a year ago. The financial media called a 40 basis point correction … Continue reading
TLT Holds the Key After Hitting Profit Target
The profit target of 2% for a long TLT position at the open of March 20, 2012 was hit just three days from my relevant post and at a time when most analysts expected an accelerated decline. What is next for TLT and for … Continue reading
TLT Rebounds with Falling Bond Yields
Two days ago, I used technical and price action analysis and warned about a pending rebound in TLT, when the predominant view was that of an immediate collapse. TLT gained $1.69 since the close of last Tuesday. How high can this rebound reach?
Posted in ETF Analysis, Technical Analysis
Tagged anti-correlation, bonds, TLT, yields, ^TNX
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TLT is Oversold According to Technical and Price Action Analysis
Bond yields have risen for the past five days after staying flat at historically low levels for about four months. The yield of the 10-Year Note has gained 40 basis points in this short period of time to rise from around 2% … Continue reading
Posted in ETF Analysis, Price Action Lab Patterns, Technical Analysis
Tagged bonds, high probability tarding, Price Action Lab, TLT
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Bond Yields Are Dropping in the Face of Increasing Global Uncertainty
Bond Yields dropped after the FED announcement of their interest rate policy. The 10-Year Note yield fell below 2% after breaking above the upper tendline of the down-channel it has formed since last November. It appears that inflation expectations play a secondary role … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Analysis, Technical Analysis
Tagged bonds, CBOE Interest Rate of 10-Year T-Notes, TLT, ^TNX
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TLT Prices May Attempt to Retest Important Resistance
Bond yields rose recently and as a result prices fell. TLT, the ETF that tracks the Barclays Capital U.S. 20+ Year Treasury Bond Index, corrected after testing resistance near its all-time high. Prices are now below a very important resistance level … Continue reading
TLT Possible Correction to Close Gap
The rally in bond prices on Friday, September 2, 2011, caused a gap in TLT daily price chart of $1.68. This is a sizable gap and it looks like that the market will move to close it before it attempts … Continue reading
Was Mr. Gross Wrong About Bonds?
In a post on March 14, 2011, I talked about the decision of PIMCO to sell all of their Treasury holdings. I analyzed that decision from the point of view of Technical Analysis and I argued that it was a wise risk … Continue reading
Bill Gross Sold His Holdings of US Treasuries – What Does Technical Analysis Tell Us About His Move?
Bill Gross, the founder of PIMCO, sold his Treasury bond holdings late last month as reported by Bloomberg. The manager of the world’s largest bond fund said that he thinks yields are low and he may buy Treasuries again when yields … Continue reading