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Tag Archives: DBC
What You Can Do in Case of Rising Inflation
I believe that inflationary pressures will remain low for a few more years. But as we all know, the market is also affected by crowd psychology and inflation can be triggered because of fear of rising prices in the future. … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Analysis, ETF Analysis, Technical Analysis
Tagged correlation, DBC, inflation, TBF, TLT, UCO
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DBC is Full of Oil
In the last two days, DBC, the commodity ETF managed by Deutsche Bank, and USO and UCO, two other ETFs that are energy related, all dropped exactly -3.50%. The high 60-day rolling correlation between DBC and the other two ETFs is … Continue reading
Price Action Lab Alert for Monday, April 2, 2012
This alert is about long and short signals in major ETFs.
Posted in Price Action Lab Alerts, Price Action Lab Patterns
Tagged DBC, EEM, FXE, GLD, IWM, Price Action Lab Alerts, QQQ, SLV, SPY, TLT, USO, XLF
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ETF Trends – Week of March 19, 2012
I have seen this movie before. No, it is not Déjà vu. It is part of The Game. Forget about economic fundamentals and indicators. The game is much more sophisticated than most people think. It involves mass psychology and social media use, … Continue reading
ETF Trends – Week of March 12, 2012
In the report of last week I wrote that “index ETFs remain in overbought territory and it is quite possible they get a spillover of the increase in volatility from the commodity sector.” The correction started at the open of Monday and lasted for … Continue reading
Short-term Correction or Market Top?
In my last ETF Trends report I noted that index ETFs were in overbought territory and that a spillover of commodity volatility into the stock market was possible. Since the beginning of this week SPY and QQQ have lost about … Continue reading
Posted in ETF Analysis, Price Action Lab Patterns
Tagged DBC, EEM, FXE, GLD, IWM, p-indicator, QQQ, SLV, SPY, TLT, USO, XLF
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ETF Trends – Week of March 5, 2012
As expected in the report of last week, volatility increased after sizable corrections in precious metals. Index ETFs remain in overbought territory and it is quite possible they get a spillover of the increase in volatility from the commodity sector.
Short-term Direction Probabilities for Popular ETFs
The probabilities for profitable short-term long and short positions based on a typical profit target and stop-loss equal to 2%, are listed for eleven popular ETFs, as of the close of March 1, 2012. These probabilities were calculated using the p-indicator.
Posted in ETF Analysis, Market Statistics
Tagged DBC, EEM, FXE, GLD, IWM, p-indicator, QQQ, SLV, SPY, TLT, USO, XLF
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ETF Trends – Week of February 27, 2012
Index and precious metals ETFs have reached important resistance levels. Out of the 8 major ETFs tracked, 4 are overbought and two are approaching overbought territory. This spells volatility ahead. The whipsaws that will follow will facilitate another transfer of wealth from naive … Continue reading
ETF Trends – Week of February 21, 2012
A reversal in the short-term trend of most ETFs did not occur last week. As of the close of Friday there were only 5 changes in the ETF trend state table in relation to the previous report. Stock index ETFs maintained their … Continue reading