Tag Archives: mean reversion
After several years of persisting mean reversion, momentum has returned to stock market with strategies based on fast moving averages generating large returns year-to-date while mean-reversion strategies are in red. But risks have also increased.
In the last two weeks the S&P 500 has fallen 5.1%. Our DOWWMR mean-reversion strategy in weekly timeframe is down 3.5%. Year-to-date the strategy is gaining 10.4% versus 4.8% for S&P 500 total return.
A Market Signals subscriber from beautiful Brazil inquired about the possibility of using a leveraged ETF in place of SPY ETF, or even account margin, for boosting the performance of our MRSPYW weekly mean-reversion strategy. Below is our analysis.
Our weekly mean-reversion strategy for Dow 30 stocks is based on a formula from probability theory that models price action dynamics. Year-to-date the strategy is gaining 13.9% versus 10.4% for S&P 500 total return.
The performance of trading strategies based on Internal Bar Strength (IBS) has been declining in recent years. In this article we include backtest results for SPY ETF and a large cap stock portfolio that demonstrate the declining performance. We also … Continue reading