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Tag Archives: risk of ruin
Risk of Ruin For Dummies
A good percentage of traders and investors get ruined because they are deceived into believing that they can be profitable in the longer term even if they are wrong more often than they are right provided they win multiples of what they lose, on … Continue reading
Confidence Is The Sure Way to Ruin
If you are confident about your market analysis then this is the sure way to ruin. Unlike other disciplines that demand confidence due to the existence of concrete rules and procedures, trading and investing are on the opposite side. Nothing … Continue reading
SPY Pattern Indicates High Probability for a Continuation of the Rally
As the title indicates, in this blog we are dealing with probabilities and not with any indubitable rules. In the markets, there are no such rules, at least not any that I know of, and only those who can properly calculate probabilities within … Continue reading
Posted in Price Action Lab Patterns, Risk Management
Tagged Price Action Lab, price patterns, risk management, risk of ruin
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Price Action Lab Alerts for Friday, May 18, 2012
This alert is about a signal in SPY for entry at today’s open and exit at the close and also about short signals in a Dow 30 stock.
Posted in Price Action Lab Alerts
Tagged position sizing, Price Action Lab Alerts, probability of ruin, risk of ruin, SPY
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The Most Important Performance Measure of Trading Strategies
Shortly after my post on Kelly maximization I received a number of emails from traders who are developing systems but are, understandably so in my opinion, a bit confused about which performance criterion or criteria to use when evaluating them. I understand why those … Continue reading
Posted in Trading System Analysis, Trading System Design, Trading System Synthesis
Tagged genetic optimization, genetic programming, payoff ratio, profit factor, risk of ruin, trend following, win rate
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Price Action Trading
Price action trading is a trading methodology that, as the name implies, is based on price action. Not surprisingly, as it is the case with many other things, this terminology has been abused and misused by many. Of course, this is a … Continue reading
Account Undercapitalization is the Primary Cause For Trader Failures
About 11 years ago, I gave a presentation in a conference in New York City as an invited speaker. The audience was mostly comprised of inexperienced traders. A good part of my presentation was on the subject of risk of ruin and proper account capitalization. … Continue reading
Posted in Risk Management
Tagged consecutive losers, profitability, risk and money management, risk of ruin, scalping
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