Tag Archives: S&P 500

The Stock Market Is For Speculation, Not an Income Source

Everyone in financial media is now talking about Vanguard and how it controls more than 80% of the money invested in index funds. Have investors forgotten the recent brutality of the stock market or are they just convinced that another … Continue reading

Posted in Asset Allocation | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

Despite Bear Markets, the S&P 500 Is An Intelligent Trading Strategy

The S&P 500 is an intelligent trading strategy and a popular benchmark. I show below that the probability of obtaining the mean return of the S&P 500 by chance is extremely low.

Posted in Market Statistics | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

Dow Jones Or S&P 500?

There was a heated discussion in Twitter a few days ago with even some harsh language about the importance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average now that the Dow 20,000 level frequently makes the headlines. The answer requires some trivial … Continue reading

Posted in Market Statistics | Tagged , | Leave a comment

It’s Now Official: The S&P 500 Has Gone 595 Days Without A 6-Day Win Streak, Longest Period Since 1950

Is a long period without a 6-day win streak an important indicator or just another random pattern? We try to answer this question below.

Posted in Premium Content | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

VIX Does Not Always Move Opposite To S&P 500

Yesterday the S&P 500 fell but VIX also fell. Some traders were expecting VIX to rise since stocks fell. But in the markets there are no perfect correlations. Historically, the VIX has moved opposite to S&P 500 about 78% of … Continue reading

Posted in Market Statistics | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

Low VIX Points to a Correction

Many things changed after the financial crisis in every aspect of life. Old paradigms have been replaced by new ones,  compatible with the new reality. Along these lines, I think that VIX serves now as a contrarian indicator . Although the … Continue reading

Posted in Market Statistics, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , | Comments Off on Low VIX Points to a Correction

Is this Market Rally Running Out of Fuel?

It took about three and a half years for the S&P 500 index to recover what was lost in about 10 months in the collapse that started in April of 2008.  Now, just 8 points away from the April 19, 2008 … Continue reading

Posted in Technical Analysis | Tagged , | Comments Off on Is this Market Rally Running Out of Fuel?

SP500 Correlation with the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index

The 30, 60 and 120 -day rolling correlations of the S&P 500 index with the Shanghai Stock Exchange composite index have been historically low and have ranged all over the place, from positive to negative. Other than during a very short period … Continue reading

Posted in Economic Analysis, Technical Analysis | Tagged , , | Comments Off on SP500 Correlation with the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index