Tag Archives: technical analysis
The island reversal chart pattern should be totally ignored by investors but it is also an unreliable signal for short-term traders unless combined with other indicators. I include examples from a recent formation in NVDA and an older one in … Continue reading
The S&P 500 is overbought in the last three days according to a popular indicator. Shorting a technically overbought S&P 500 has been a losing strategy in the last 57 years as shown in this article. Yet, the “market is … Continue reading
I have no idea who came up with the notion of overbought/oversold conditions. Market makers have probably appreciated the gifts from unskilled technical traders who thought these levels could be easily traded. There is worse than that: some even think … Continue reading
A reference to idiosyncratic trading strategies was made in a market commentary by Neal Berger, the President of Eagle’s View Asset Management. In this article we attempt to clarify what these idiosyncratic strategies are.
Managing a hedge fund, or even a managed accounts operation, nowadays is far from trivial given the market timing challenges and regulatory requirements. But there are also some other facts that are not so widely understood.
All actions in the markets based on any method, technical or fundamental, amount to forecasts. Any claims that technical or fundamental analysis are not used to make forecasts but for risk management purposes only are naive and demonstrate ignorance.