-
Search
-
-
-
Reading
-
Recent Posts
- Price Action Lab Alert for Monday, May 21, 2012
- An Excellent Call by Peter Brandt for a Top in Russell 2000 Index
- Do you have the time to answer comments posted in your blog? If not, just turn them off
- Gold and Silver Rebounded with Prospects of Further Gains
- A Warning to all Bloggers Who Provide Market Analysis
Popular Posts
- The Last Chartist
- A Very Rare Pattern in SPY
- AAPL Has Gone Vertical from Parabolic
- The Risk of a Market Correction has Increased Substantially
- Optimal Trading Using the Kelly Formula
- Technical Trading: The Winners and Losers
- A Market Rally Will Equate to Another TA Failure
- Curve-fitting and Optimization
- Trading is Much More than Naive Statistics
- Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Made a Decisive Step
Archives
- May 2012 (27)
- April 2012 (32)
- March 2012 (37)
- February 2012 (43)
- January 2012 (42)
- December 2011 (31)
- November 2011 (22)
- October 2011 (16)
- September 2011 (8)
- August 2011 (9)
- July 2011 (14)
- June 2011 (12)
- May 2011 (14)
- April 2011 (18)
- March 2011 (16)
- February 2011 (14)
- January 2011 (15)
- December 2010 (2)
- November 2010 (3)
- October 2010 (4)
Categories
- Economic Analysis (20)
- ETF Analysis (181)
- Folklore (5)
- Market Statistics (5)
- Price Action Lab Alerts (23)
- Price Action Lab Patterns (79)
- Risk Management (10)
- Technical Analysis (147)
- Trading System Analysis (19)
- Trading System Design (17)
- Trading System Synthesis (11)
- Trend following (4)
- Uncategorized (9)
- Warnings (2)
-
Follow us on Twitter
Error: Twitter did not respond. Please wait a few minutes and refresh this page.
Tag Archives: technical analysis
Chart Analysis is Not a Trading Method
Chart analysis can provide a context for experienced discretionary traders for coming up with subjective probabilities, which are then updated by proven, high expectation methods. Chart analysis alone is a negative expectation trading method because charts nowadays are available to everyone with access to the Internet.
The Four TA Patterns on the GLD Chart that Failed
This post could have the title “Beware of Greeks Baring Gifts No 2″ as a sequel to my original post on October 1, 2011 where I warned about the pending failure of the obvious pennant formation in GLD, a chart pattern … Continue reading
Posted in ETF Analysis, Technical Analysis
Tagged chart patterns, GLD, technical analysis
Comments Off
S&P 500 Index Bouncing off its 200-SMA. Self-fulfilling Prophecy?
This question is proper for the whole of Technical Analysis; Is Technical Analysis a self-fulfilling prophecy? Take a look for example at the daily S&P 500 chart below, updated as of the close of yesterday. The low for the day was … Continue reading
Posted in Technical Analysis
Tagged S&P 500 Index, self-fulfilling profecy, technical analysis
Comments Off
The State of ETFs – April 18, 2011 – The Week Ahead
Both ETFs that I have marked as overbought in last week’s report, DBC and USO, corrected immediately starting last Monday and are now moving sideways short-term. As of the close of Friday, April 15, 2011, there are only 4 changes in the ETF trend … Continue reading
Posted in ETF Analysis
Tagged adjusted close, DBC, ETF trend, FXE, GLD, MEI indicator, p-indicator, QQQ, technical analysis, TLT, USO
Comments Off
The State of ETFs – April 11, 2011 – The Week Ahead
As of the close of Friday, April 8, 2011, there are 6 changes in the ETF trend state table in relation to previous Friday’s close. Two tickers are in overbought territory, one ticker is approaching overbought conditions and one ticker is close to becoming … Continue reading
Posted in ETF Analysis
Tagged DBC, ETF trend, FXE, GLD, MEI indicator, p-indicator, QQQ, SPY, technical analysis, TLT, USO
Comments Off
The State of ETFs – April 4, 2011 – The Week Ahead
As of the close of Friday, April 1, 2011, there are 6 changes in the ETF trend state table in relation to previous Friday’s close. There are no overbought or oversold conditions present in any of the ETFs considered in this analysis but … Continue reading
Posted in ETF Analysis
Tagged DBC, ETF trend, FXE, GLD, MEI indicator, p-indicator, QQQ, SPY, technical analysis, TLT, USO
Comments Off
Chaos in Technical Analysis and Backtesting – Part II: More on Close vs. Adjusted Close
This is the second in a series of posts about the impact of data adjustments on technical analysis studies and backtesting, as well as, of the pitfalls of trading system development due to incompatibilities and/or conflicts between data series and analysis techniques. Use of … Continue reading
Posted in ETF Analysis, Technical Analysis, Trading System Analysis
Tagged adjusted close, backtesting, technical analysis
Comments Off
The State of ETFs – March 27, 2011 – The Week Ahead
As of the close of Friday, March 25, 2011, there are 5 changes in the ETF trend state table in relation to previous Friday’s close. There are no overbought or oversold conditions present in any of the ETFs considered in this analysis:
Posted in ETF Analysis
Tagged DBC, ETF trend, FXE, GLD, MEI indicator, p-indicator, QQQ, SPY, technical analysis, TLT, USO
Comments Off
Chaos in Technical Analysis and Backtesting – Part I: Close vs. Adjusted Close
This is the first in a series of posts about the impact of data adjustments on technical analysis studies and backtesting, as well as, of the pitfalls of trading system development due to incompatibilities and/or conflicts between data series and analysis techniques. Use … Continue reading
Posted in ETF Analysis, Technical Analysis, Trading System Analysis
Tagged adjusted close, backtesting, technical analysis
Comments Off
The State of ETFs – March 21, 2011, The Week Ahead
As of the close of Friday, March 18, 2011, there are only 4 changes in the ETF trend state table in relation to previous Friday’s close. There are no overbought or oversold conditions present and there are no short-term high probability … Continue reading
Posted in ETF Analysis
Tagged DBC, ETF trend, FXE, GLD, MEI indicator, p-indicator, QQQQ, SPY, technical analysis, TLT, USO
Comments Off