Tag Archives: technical analysis

Frequencies of Events Matter But Not Always

Yesterday the S&P 500 made an intraday low a little more than 0.8% below the previous day’s close and that got some bears in social media excited. However, it is the relative frequency of these events that counts, not a … Continue reading

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Why So Many Overestimate Their Technical Analysis Skills

Many traders overestimate their technical analysis skills and this mainly involves those using old and outdated methods. However, in some cases technical analysis is used as a cover to promote wishful thinking.

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Is the Bulk of Technical Analysis “Thinking in Words”?

Until now I thought that the main problem of technical analysis is bias of all kinds. A tweet from N. N. Taleb yesterday got me thinking. Maybe there is a more serious problem than bias: thinking in words.

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Eight Signs To Help You Identify Technical Analysis Trolls

Modern technology offers the opportunity to trolls to pose as technical analysts. How do you recognize a technical analysis troll? Eight signs provide clues.

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Dreams Of Profits From Machine Learning: The Next Big Market Trap

Value and institutional investors, market makers, specialists and other savvy professionals profited handsomely in the last three decades from the losses of traders using naive technical analysis, such as chart patterns and simple indicators. The next huge trap is machine … Continue reading

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Fibonacci Voodoo On Gold

Gold prices retraced about 38% of their previous uptrend that started in December of last year and peaked during last July. One could say that gold prices found support at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level but that is more like … Continue reading

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Is Technical Analysis Broken?

When major financial media sites make up patterns because they can find none to present their case of a bull market, then there is a problem. Fed policies and the financialization of all assets have had a negative effect on … Continue reading

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Financial Media Intimidation Effects

Journalists do their job and investors and traders should do their. Market participants should not feel intimidated by post hoc market analysis because that may lead to spasmodic reactions and losses. Doing own homework is of paramount importance.

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