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Tag Archives: technical analysis
Yesterday the S&P 500 made an intraday low a little more than 0.8% below the previous day’s close and that got some bears in social media excited. However, it is the relative frequency of these events that counts, not a … Continue reading
Many traders overestimate their technical analysis skills and this mainly involves those using old and outdated methods. However, in some cases technical analysis is used as a cover to promote wishful thinking.
Until now I thought that the main problem of technical analysis is bias of all kinds. A tweet from N. N. Taleb yesterday got me thinking. Maybe there is a more serious problem than bias: thinking in words.
Modern technology offers the opportunity to trolls to pose as technical analysts. How do you recognize a technical analysis troll? Eight signs provide clues.
Value and institutional investors, market makers, specialists and other savvy professionals profited handsomely in the last three decades from the losses of traders using naive technical analysis, such as chart patterns and simple indicators. The next huge trap is machine … Continue reading
Gold prices retraced about 38% of their previous uptrend that started in December of last year and peaked during last July. One could say that gold prices found support at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level but that is more like … Continue reading
When major financial media sites make up patterns because they can find none to present their case of a bull market, then there is a problem. Fed policies and the financialization of all assets have had a negative effect on … Continue reading
Journalists do their job and investors and traders should do their. Market participants should not feel intimidated by post hoc market analysis because that may lead to spasmodic reactions and losses. Doing own homework is of paramount importance.