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Tag Archives: TLT
Bonds Rally But Any Upside May Be limited
Bond yields retreated from their highs yesterday for the third consecutive day due to banking problems in a small EU nation. The 10-year yield fell from a high of 2.09% two weeks ago to close at 1.91% yesterday but any downside … Continue reading
What You Can Do in Case of Rising Inflation
I believe that inflationary pressures will remain low for a few more years. But as we all know, the market is also affected by crowd psychology and inflation can be triggered because of fear of rising prices in the future. … Continue reading
Posted in Economic Analysis, ETF Analysis, Technical Analysis
Tagged correlation, DBC, inflation, TBF, TLT, UCO
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TLT and SPY Technical Analysis
TLT managed a test of its 200-day simple moving average and SPY tested the upper trendline of the up-channel it broke to the upside last week. Both want to go up and this is indicated by the increasing correlation (or decreasing anti-correlation).
The Bond Market’s Negative Reception of QE3 and What It Means
Yields rallied after QE3 was announced. The 10-year note yield jumped and made an exact test of its 200-day moving average at 1.84%, just two basis points below medium-term resistance at 1.86%. After some wild swings the yield closed unchanged. The … Continue reading
Posted in Technical Analysis
Tagged bonds, CBOE Interest Rate of 10-Year T-Notes, quantitative easing, TLT
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A Stunning Compliance With Fibonacci Levels in Bond Market Action
I wrote about this bond market compliance with Fibonacci levels as of the close three days ago and after TLT has retraced exactly 50% the drop from the July 25 high to the August 16 low. Yesterday, TLT rallied because of – … Continue reading
Posted in ETF Analysis, Technical Analysis
Tagged bonds, Fibonacci retracement levels, TLT
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TLT Retraces Exactly 50 Percent but Finds Resistance
The retracement of the TLT drop after the July 26 high of $132.21 down to the August 16 low of $120.52 is currently at a 50% level. Yesterday, TLT made a high just one tick below this important retracement level and … Continue reading
Posted in ETF Analysis, Technical Analysis
Tagged anticorrelation, bonds, Fibonacci retracement, TLT
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Bonds are Oversold After Finding Support Just Above Their 200-day SMA
Last Wednesday before the market open I wrote that “If the short-term double bottom at $123.75 in TLT is broken to the downside, testing of 200-day simple moving average support near $120.25 is quite possible”. I did not expect this to happen in just … Continue reading
Late Longs in Bonds Feel the Squeeze
If the short-term double bottom at $123.75 in TLT is broken to the downside, testing of 200-day simple moving average support near $120.25 is quite possible. By that time, the late long crowd will be out and the bond market may … Continue reading
Bears are Scared
Stock market bears are scared. I base this on the fact that the S&P 500 index made a short-term bottom above its 200-day simple moving average. I also suspect that a good percentage of the current stock bears are the bond … Continue reading
Price Action Lab Alert for Thursday, May 24, 2012
Actually, this alert will be about the alert I did not post yesterday. I will explain the reasons I did not do it, although as it turned out the result was positive overall.