Tag Archives: ^TNX
Has the 10-Year Note yield found a bottom? Many good technical analysts are trying to find an answer to this question. However, the chart has defied simple technical analysis since the top in 1981 and has done that consistently. “Is … Continue reading
Although in the long-term more quantitative easing may cause inflation to rise, in the short-term it should cause yields to fall. However, bond market participants in the last few days were selling bonds causing a rise in yields. Why would … Continue reading
The lesson is never start a fight with the FED. When it comes to bonds, the FED is the boss, not some bond fund managers who are just the humble servants of the FED although they often commit the original financial sin of trying to overthrow the … Continue reading
Two days ago, I used technical and price action analysis and warned about a pending rebound in TLT, when the predominant view was that of an immediate collapse. TLT gained $1.69 since the close of last Tuesday. How high can this rebound reach?
Although yields have risen recently with the 10-year Note near 1.97% and the 30-year Bond near 3.122%, up from their January lows of 1.80% and 2.88%, respectively, bond prices may have a long way to go if economic and geopolitical uncertainty continues and as … Continue reading
Bond Yields dropped after the FED announcement of their interest rate policy. The 10-Year Note yield fell below 2% after breaking above the upper tendline of the down-channel it has formed since last November. It appears that inflation expectations play a secondary role … Continue reading