Tag Archives: yields
As long as unemployment remains high and machines are replacing humans even in the service sector (read this piece by Josh Brown ) the probability is still high that the spike in yields is just due to the anti-correlation between stocks and bonds … Continue reading
This probably means that a bond bear market is coming closer because even big names in the investment industry seem to have given up and are adding to their bond portfolios. However, a rapid rise in yields will not affect pension … Continue reading
Although in the long-term more quantitative easing may cause inflation to rise, in the short-term it should cause yields to fall. However, bond market participants in the last few days were selling bonds causing a rise in yields. Why would … Continue reading
Two days ago, I used technical and price action analysis and warned about a pending rebound in TLT, when the predominant view was that of an immediate collapse. TLT gained $1.69 since the close of last Tuesday. How high can this rebound reach?
Although yields have risen recently with the 10-year Note near 1.97% and the 30-year Bond near 3.122%, up from their January lows of 1.80% and 2.88%, respectively, bond prices may have a long way to go if economic and geopolitical uncertainty continues and as … Continue reading
Over the longer-term stock and bond returns show a small but positive correlation. Periods of sustained low negative correlation usually indicate increasing stock market uncertainty and risk. The 120-day rolling correlation between SPY and TLT has been on a downtrend since February of last … Continue reading