Tag Archives: yields

Bond Bear Market Forecasts May Be Premature

As long as unemployment remains high and machines are replacing humans even in the service sector (read this piece by Josh Brown ) the probability is still high that the spike in yields is just due to the anti-correlation between stocks and bonds … Continue reading

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Bond Bears Are Ready to Give Up

This probably means that a bond bear market is coming closer because even big names in the investment industry seem to have given up and are adding to their bond portfolios. However, a rapid rise in yields will not affect pension … Continue reading

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Bond Yields Rise Despite Expectations of More QE

Although in the long-term more quantitative easing may cause inflation to rise, in the short-term it should cause yields to fall. However, bond market participants in the last few days were selling bonds causing a rise in yields. Why would … Continue reading

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TLT Rebounds with Falling Bond Yields

Two days ago, I used technical and price action analysis and warned about a pending rebound in TLT, when the predominant view was that of an immediate collapse. TLT gained $1.69 since the close of last Tuesday. How high can this rebound reach? Share

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Bond Prices May Still Have a Long Way to Go

Although yields have risen recently with the 10-year Note near 1.97% and the 30-year Bond near 3.122%, up from their January lows of 1.80% and  2.88%, respectively, bond prices may have a long way to go if economic and geopolitical uncertainty continues and as … Continue reading

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Sustained Negative Correlation Bewteen Stock and Bond Returns is Problematic

Over the longer-term stock and bond returns show a small but positive correlation. Periods of sustained low negative correlation usually indicate increasing stock market uncertainty and risk. The 120-day rolling correlation between SPY and TLT has been on a downtrend since February of last … Continue reading

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TLT Prices May Attempt to Retest Important Resistance

Bond yields rose recently and as a result prices fell. TLT, the ETF that tracks the Barclays Capital U.S. 20+ Year Treasury Bond Index, corrected after testing resistance near its all-time high. Prices are now below a very important resistance level … Continue reading

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