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Extreme Market Pattern and Probability Underestimation [Premium Insights]

Posted by Price Action Lab Blog on April 14, 2021

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Some patterns in stock market may look extreme but this is only due to underestimating the probability of them occurring. An example is included from a current pattern in SPY ETF. Access to article requires Premium Insights subscription . . .

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Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated performance results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not actually been executed, the results may have under- or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Hypothetical trading results are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown.

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