Premium Market Analysis, Trader Education, Software, and Trading Strategies. Thirty Years Of Skin In The Game

Premium Blog

  • Momersion Anomaly [Premium Articles] January 5, 2018

    This article includes a review of the Momersion anomaly and stocks that exhibit high tendency of mean-reversion to the upside. The Momersion indicator was introduced in this article. This indicator measures momentum and mean-reversion tendency. If the value is above 50, ...

  • There Is No Edge In This Hype [Premium Articles] December 27, 2017

    There is no edge in this hype about the stock market. More details are included below. As the year end is getting closer, there is hype and statistics about a rally in stocks. As the chart of the S&P 500 since ...

  • Typical Tweet That Shows Lack Of Understanding Of Markets [Premium Articles] December 19, 2017

    This is a typical tweet that shows lack of understanding of markets and technical analysis. These tweets are very common. I just saw this tweet this morning: https://twitter.com/HumbleStudent/status/942986069804568576 These breadth indicators measure momentum, not overbought conditions. Overbought is assumed in the sense of ...

  • Traders Fail When They Listen To What Failed Traders Have To Say December 15, 2017

    Traders fail for many reasons but a common one is that they listen to failed traders.

  • This Edge Survived in 2017 [Premium Articles] December 14, 2017

    This is a very simple edge based on a seasonality anomaly that has survived 2017 markets although performance in the last three months is flat.

  • People Do Not Understand Futures [Premium Articles] December 12, 2017

    In the last few days and due to bitcoin futures launch, it became apparent than very few people understand futures markets. Below is my analysis of how bitcoin futures will affect the market and an example of misunderstanding futures from ...

  • Bitcoin Exponential Chart Illusion [Premium Articles] December 9, 2017

    The bitcoin chart shows an exponential rise and that may cause certain illusions. The recent exponential rise in bitcoin does not mean that profit potential has necessarily increased. On the contrary, it has decreased when compared to past. This may be seen ...

  • S&P 500 Drawdown Statistics And Misconceptions [Premium Articles] December 6, 2017

    A 3% drawdown in S&P 500 has not occurred for a record number of days since 1960 but the misconception is revealed below. A 3% drawdown has not occurred in S&P 500 for 271 days as shown in the second pane ...

  • Has Trend-Following On Dow Stocks Been Profitable In Last 10 Years? [Premium Articles] December 4, 2017

    In this article we look at the past performance of two popular trend-following strategies applied to the Dow 30 group and attempt to explain the reasons this style has fallen out of favor among some fund managers. The two strategies we ...

  • Short Volatility Strategy Tail Risk [Premium articles] November 29, 2017

    Trading short volatility via VIX-related ETFs is very popular nowadays but involves extreme tail risk. Many strategies to trade short volatility via ETFs are optimized so that tail risk in past data is avoided but risk of ruin has high probability ...