Tag Archives: overbought

A New Self-Fulfilling Prophecy

I was still in graduate school when the self-fulfilling prophecy of the 200-day moving average was forged by financial media. After nearly 30 years they have not changed the narrative. Maybe it is time for a change and I have … Continue reading

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S&P 500 Most Oversold Since September 2001

According to our overbought/oversold indicator (a variant of RSI) the S&P 500 index is now most oversold since September 2001. Note that a 22% gain followed after the oversold conditions in 2001 before the bear market resumed.

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The Failed “Market Is Technically Overbought” Narrative [Premium Articles]

The S&P 500 is overbought in the last three days according to a popular indicator. Shorting a technically overbought S&P 500 has been a losing strategy in the last 57 years as shown in this article. Yet, the “market is … Continue reading

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