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Trend Followers Make Forecasts

Posted by Michael Harris on September 7, 2015

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There is an ongoing debate in some trading forums about whether trend-followers make forecasts. The debate started after in an interview, Michael Covel, who is an author, claimed that trend-followers do not make predictions . . .

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Michael Harris

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Trend following

Trend-Following Many Markets Maximizes Sharpe

Trend following

Diversification and Trend-following

Trend following

Positive Skew Can Hurt Returns

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Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated performance results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not actually been executed, the results may have under- or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Hypothetical trading results are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown.

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