- Use Algos to Fight The Algos January 3, 2017
Every trader’s resolution for this year should include a transition to a mode of operation that is compatible with current market environment.
- Trading Vs. Investing: The False Dichotomy December 27, 2016
There are many who confuse these two: trading and investing.
- The Post-Hoc Chartist December 24, 2016
Why do some chartists turn ad hominen when their practice is challenged? The plausible answer is that they are frustrated by continuous failures and are acting under the influence of backfire effect cognitive bias.
- Another Market Anomaly Has Disappeared [Premium Articles] October 6, 2016
As reported in a premium article in June of this year, this market anomaly has disappeared but we have identified an ETF where it still persists. In this premium article on June 20, 2016, we wrote: The overnight effect has virtually disappeared from ...
- Comparison Of Two Strategic Portfolio Allocations [Premium Articles] September 6, 2016
We compare the performances of Golden Butterfly and Price Action Lab Diversified Portfolio strategic allocations
- Significant Developments in Overnight Effect [Premium Articles] June 10, 2016
There are some significant developments in the “overnight effect” year-to-date. A persistence overnight effect is one of the simplest edges and it is realized by buying a security at the close of a day and selling it at the next open. ...
- Signal-To-Noise Indicator Update [Premium Articles] March 31, 2016
Signal-to-noise indicator for S&P 500 and SPY.
- Long-Term Backtests Can Be Misleading [Premium Articles] December 12, 2015
Authors of popular books and blog articles often present long backtests of certain strategies that exhibit superb risk-adjusted performance. It is important to realize that it is highly possible that these superb results are due to market conditions that may ...
- Analysis of a Simple Volatility Trading Strategy [Premium Articles] December 1, 2015
Volatility trading strategies often realize impressive returns. However, some of those strategies cannot deal effectively with volatility spikes and exhibit large drawdown levels. In this article I look at a simple strategy for trading volatility that is available in the ...
- Inferences From Backtest Results Are False Until Proven True November 22, 2015
The validity of any backtest results should not be assumed no matter how credible their source appears to be.