Weekly Signals Updates include open positions, new signals and performance of a group of six systematic trading strategies. Access to report requires Market Signals or All in One subscriptions.
U.S. securities exchanges will be closed on Monday, January 17 for Martin Luther King, Jr. Day.
Market Recap and Comments (January 10 – January 14, 2022)
Stocks (SPY) fell 0.3% in the second week of 2022. Commodities (DBC) gained 2.5%. Gold (GLD) was up 1.1%. Bonds (TLT) were down 0.1%. Year-to-date, only DBC is up (+4.8%) while TLT is down the most (-4.1%).
Four strategies gained and two were down on the week. The average weekly change of the six strategies was +0.25%. Dow 30 mean-reversion continues to outperform the market while trend-following is underperforming.
Uncertainty about interest rates increased due to persisting high inflation. Some analysts now expect up to six interest rate hikes by the Fed this year. However, it isn’t clear how the stock market will respond. For historical analysis about the performance of stock market in low and high inflation regimes see this article.
Strategy positions and performance as of close of Friday, January 14, 2022.
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