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The lesson is never start a fight with the FED. When it comes to bonds, the FED is the boss, not some bond fund managers who are just the humble servants of the FED although they often commit the original financial sin of trying to overthrow the ...

Another list of “lessons” I don’t need. Update: May 16, 2022 (Fixed a few typos and made minor corrections.) The list of lessons was reported by Pragmatic Capitalism and it was attributed to Bruce Berkowitz of Fairholme. I haven’t checked the source ...

Technical trading is not as easy to define nowadays as it was in the 1980s when it become popular. It is no longer limited to technical analysis and indicators but encompasses a wide variety of methods. Most of the methods are well-known, ...

This is a short introduction to the use of margin and leverage. After defining the relevant terms and clarifying common misconceptions I present a simple formula for calculating the amount of capital that is required for minimizing the probability of ruin when trading highly volatile markets ...

The importance of the 200-day simple moving average as a trend indicator is well-known and indisputable. Even those who do not use technical analysis pay attention to this average.

There are two main issues with heated discussions one can find in trading forums about zero-sum games. The first issue is that most people believe that a zero-sum game is a useless one and its only aim is to redistribute ...

Medieval alchemy aimed, among other things, at the transmutation of base metals into gold. Trading based on classical chart patterns, like triangles, head and shoulders, pennants, etc., is a form of modern alchemy because it aims at the transformation of ...

Following the very popular post of last week on Games with Fancy Names, today I have a new game.  A biased coin will be tossed 1807 times. The coin bias is only 51.96%, meaning that on the average, heads will come ...

Someone asks you if you would like to play the following game: A biased coin will be tossed 1778 times. The coin bias is 54.78%, meaning that on the average, heads will come up 54.78% of the time. You win $85.50 each time ...

Recently there have been many chart pattern failures in several markets. One must be very careful with chart analysis because the market rarely rewards predictions that are obvious to anyone with a book on technical analysis and a personal computer running a charting program. Examples ...