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  • 2022 And 2008 Market Action Comparisons June 27, 2022

    Several charts have surfaced that claim 2008 and 2022 market price actions are similar. The charts allude to a continuing market decline. Visual chart comparisons can be misleading. In this article, we calculate the relationship in the data and point to ...

  • Is the Energy Rally Over? June 21, 2022

    Last week, crude oil futures fell $11, the popular XLE ETF plunged 17%, and many energy stocks crashed. Is this the end of the energy rally? First, let us look at some data from last week. We start with a drop ...

  • Risk Happens Fast With Extreme Events June 14, 2022

    Risk accumulates slowly but also happens fast. The S&P 500 dropped nearly 10% in the last four trading days. This is a 5-sigma event based on an available sample of daily returns since 1942. The S&P 500 fell into a bear ...

  • ETFs To Make Everyone Rich June 8, 2022

    In recent years ETFs have moved beyond passive index tracking. There are many actively managed and thematic ETFs that claim to offer retail access to the edges of institutional investing and hedge funds. Recent experience with many of those ETFs ...

  • The Perils Of Taking Market Advice From A Counterparty June 5, 2022

    Many retail traders and investors cannot wait to read the next social media post or article from their favorite fund manager because they think this way they will gain a market edge. On the contrary, in many cases, they are ...

  • All Seasons Strategic Allocation Vs. Price Action Lab Tactical Allocation June 1, 2022

    We compare the historical performance of All Seasons strategic allocation and Price Action Lab tactical asset allocation. The well-known All Seasons strategic allocation makes use of the following ETFs and weights: ETF Weight (%) TLT 40 VTI 30 IEF 15 DBC 7.5 GLD 7.5 The portfolio is rebalanced annually. Below is the equity curve ...

  • The Market is Smarter and More Powerful May 29, 2022

    A 6.6% gain in S&P 500 this week is not a signal of market direction. The market is smarter and more powerful than any market participants who make forecasts. This week the S&P 500 gained 6.6%. Based on the sample of ...

  • You Are Not An Omniscient Momentum Trader May 23, 2022

    If a momentum strategy could identify the absolute bottom of large corrections and bear markets, the total return could be increased by a large factor. Since we and our strategies are not omniscient, we rely on leverage and the risk ...

  • Memories of 1987 Crash From Two Consumer Defensive Stocks May 19, 2022

    A crash in two stocks from the consumer defensive sector brought back memories of the 1987 crash. After 35 years, these price moves were not expected. The stock of Target Corporation (TGT) crashed 24.9% yesterday, Wednesday, May 18, 2022, due to ...

  • Free DLPAL DQ License With Annual All-in-One Subscriptions May 16, 2022

    We are pleased to announce that annual All-in-One subscriptions will receive a free license of DLPAL DQ software. This is a limited-time offer. DLPAL DQ is a quantitative scanner of price action anomalies used by quant discretionary traders. No programming is necessary. ...