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  • The Fallacy Of 1-Year Forward Stock Market Returns May 15, 2022

    Nearly every day there are articles in the financial blogosphere and media, as well as on social media, that show a positive 1-year forward stock market return on the average for certain macro and technical analysis setups. Their conclusions are ...

  • Update: When Online Sentiment is Wrong May 9, 2022

    The sentiment inferred from social media and other alternative data can be wrong due to low signal to noise ratio and bluffing. The inception date of BUZZ VanEck Social Sentiment ETF was on March 2, 2021. This ETF is down 34.5% ...

  • The Illusion Of Passive Investing May 7, 2022

    In hindsight, long-term charts impose the illusion of passive investing. The fact is that there are lucky and unlucky passive investors. The timing of their investment in an index fund determines whether they are lucky or unlucky passive investors. The chart ...

  • Price Series Momentum Signals Contributed To Downside Pressure April 30, 2022

    On the last trading day of this month, the S&P 500 and SPY ETF ended below the 10-month and 12-month moving averages, contributing to the stock market’s sell-off. The 10-month and 12-month moving averages are widely used momentum indicators. On the ...

  • DLPAL Software Demo Versions April 28, 2022

    There are three versions of DLPAL software for systematic and discretionary traders: S, DQ, and LS. No programming is necessary. For more details about the different versions, and differences click here. DLPAL DQ is a quantitative scanner of price action anomalies and ...

  • Long/Short Results For Week Ending April 22, 2022 April 24, 2022

    Below are the results of long/short algo for the week of April 18, 2022. The long/short identification is in the weekly timeframe and performed by DLPAL LS software. The following markets are considered: Dow 30 stocks S&P 500 stocks Nasdaq – 100 stocks Higher Risk ...

  • The Battle of Heads & Shoulders April 20, 2022

    Some traders see a head and shoulders pattern in S&P 500, some other traders see a reverse head and shoulders and even some others see a complex top formation. They all have something in common: they are fooled by randomness. I ...

  • Market Analysts Typically Present Only One Side Of The Story April 16, 2022

    Many analysts in financial media, blogs, and social media will tell you when they think it’s a good time to place a trade but won’t tell you when to exit it. Exiting a position is much harder than entering one. Long ...

  • There Is No Correction In Low Volatility Large Caps April 9, 2022

    Despite increased selling pressures in the S&P 500, NASDAQ-100, and Russell 2000, low volatility large caps reached new highs this week. The chart below depicts the S&P 500 total return index since 1972. The index made new, all-time highs this week as ...

  • “US Dollar Rally Coming To An End” April 7, 2022

    The US dollar’s value versus other currencies is an extremely complex equation that involves political, geopolitical, and other known and unknown variables. Do not even try to forecast currency moves, especially where the US dollar will be in the future. Below ...